Personal research project — paper-testing & tuning, not raising capital.
Paper research · advisory · $0 real capital

Fundability — the honest case, every claim checkable

The edge is not yield. The edge is honest measurement and refusal — being the party that correctly prices and declines the risk others don't see, and proves it. Below is the whole case, with the honest constraints stated up front, and a link to check every number yourself.

GO

Rates Desk — refusal-first carry

Validated, live-paper. Carry leg real -> fundable. Capacity-bound.

MEASURE-GO

RWA Backstop — book NO-GO

Measurement GO; underwriting needs custody + legal + capital (off-code).

NO-GO

Liquidator — published kill

Addressable market ~5-10x below the bar. We publish what we kill.

Honest constraints — up front, not buried

  • The track is THIN. Only days with a real daily-cycle log count; the earlier backfill was reset out. The track is accruing to 30 — trustworthy risk-adjusted ratios land near day 30; until then they read THIN, never a fabricated number.
  • Capacity is bounded. The standalone rates desk clears tens of thousands per year above the floor at today's market depth; combined across sleeves, after a correlation haircut, the honest figure is lower still. $10M = scale + decorrelation + AUM — NOT reachable today.
  • The capital is paper. $0 real capital. This is a research / paper track on a virtual $100k book. Not investment advice, not a forecast.

Live proof

source: static / offline

Chain decisions

hashed, verifiable

Refusals

published with reason

Evidenced days

/ 30

ready · THIN · accruing

Chain verified

3-state · never green on absent

Head hash (fingerprint of the entire decision history):

The validated edge

Same engine, same day: a toxic LRT book is refused on structure, a clean stable-carry book is approved. Refusal fires before economics — a great quote cannot buy its way past a toxic book. Both decisions are hashed and public. The fully worked example (real ezETH-refusal + sUSDe-entry hashes) lives in the DD pack.

Rates Desk

harvest carry · refuse tail-comp

RWA Backstop

liquidation NAV, not marketing NAV

Liquidator

measured -> published NO-GO

Between here and $10M — off-code

The code took each thesis to an honest verdict for free. But the boundary is the same across all three — the code can measure and refuse; the $10M is off-code. Named plainly, not hidden:

Custody / MPC

institutional key management for real capital

External audit

independent code + controls audit of the execution path

Legal

fund structure, collateral perfection, force-redemption rights

Real capital + relationships

whitelisting, redemption-queue access; the carry edge needs scale -> AUM

Check every number yourself

Don't trust us — check us. One zero-dependency verifier + SPA's public JSON, on a clean machine with none of our code: it re-derives every decision hash, every exit-NAV proof_hash, and the anchors — reporting the exact broken_at if a single byte of history was altered.

Command

python3 verify_spa.py data/

Verifier: scripts/verify_spa.py · recipe: docs/PROOF_CHAIN_SPEC.md · DD pack: docs/DD_PACK.md (the fully worked refused-vs-approved example with real proof_hashes; every number traced to its source).

Check each claim

⚠ Personal Research Project: SPA is a personal research project in paper validation and tuning. Not a regulated financial service. Not raising capital. Not investment advice.

Paper Trading Disclosure: All performance data reflects simulated trading on a virtual $100,000 USDC portfolio. Current paper APY: ~3.6% (variable, not a forecast). Simulated performance does not account for live slippage, liquidity impact, or smart contract execution risk. We reset our own track: only days with a real cycle log count (currently 10/30, anchor 2026-06-22). Go-live target: ~2026-07-21 — contingent on GoLiveChecker 29/29 (currently 27/29 NOT READY). See /track-record.

Not a Regulated Service: SPA is a personal research project at the paper-testing stage. This does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or a solicitation to invest in any jurisdiction. Consult qualified professionals before making investment decisions.

DeFi-specific risks: Smart contract vulnerabilities and exploits · Protocol insolvency · Stablecoin de-pegging · Oracle manipulation · Regulatory actions · Technology failure. Funds in DeFi protocols are not covered by any investor compensation scheme.